2026 AL Central Division Prediction

The first three month of 2025 the Detroit Tigers got off to a 53-32 start but then in the back half of the season they played 34-43 baseball. From April 1 through September 27 they were in first place for all but two days, then they lost their final game of the season and finished in second place one game out of first behind the Cleveland Guardians. That isn’t going to happen again and the Tigers are going to be the American Leagues Central Division Champions with 91 wins.

The Kansas City Royals are going to get their starting pitching rolling again in 2026 and will give the Tigers a run for their money but in the end the Tigers with ace pitchers Tarik Skubal and Framber Valdez will prevail and the Royals will finish second with a 86-76 record.

The Twins never make it easy

Derek Falvey

Now that a few days have passed since Derek Falvey and Minnesota Twins ownership “mutually agreed” to part ways it seems like a good time to share my thoughts on what happened. When the move was announced on Friday, January 30 it came as a real shock that a parting of the ways like this would take place just two weeks away for the beginning of Spring Training 2026 and just a week after the Minnesota Twins Diamond Awards and TwinsFest took place.

While I was disappointed that this move didn’t take place right after the 2025 season ended, I am still glad that it happened. I see this as the best news that I have seen coming from the Twins camp in a long time. I am no baseball expert but I just don’t think that Falvey was ever qualified for this job and should not have been hired in the first place. I wonder how much the Twins paid him to walk away quietly? It appears that Falvey and Pohlad were not only not on the same wave length, they weren’t even in the same area code.

Derek Falvey was hired by the Minnesota Twins as Executive Vice President and Chief Baseball Officer on October 3, 2016. He officially joined the organization following the conclusion of the 2016 World Series and was later promoted to President of Baseball Operations in November 2019. In 2025 He also took over the business side of the Twins operation from Dave St. Peter who decided to retire.

 

Year Year End 40?Man
2025 $130,113,745
2024 $132,543,419
2023 $166,950,772
2022 $151,057,543
2021 $125,983,176
2020 $52,627,942
2019 $125,205,980
2018 $131,186,562
2017 $111,209,586
2016 $106,840,501
2015 $108,275,245
2014 $91,071,286
2013 $76,132,483
2012 $101,165,992
2011 $115,419,106
2010 $103,039,407
  • Year End 40-man roster payrolls obtained by The Associated Press include salaries and pro-rated shares of signing bonuses, earned performance and award bonuses, non-cash compensation, buyouts of unexercised options and cash transactions. Deferrals may be discounted to reflect present-day value.

Source: Cot’s Baseball Contracts

Minnesota Twins 2025 Offseason Moves: Eric Orze Trade, Alex Jackson Addition, and Ownership Uncertainty

Eric Orze
Jacob Kisting

The Twins first move early this off-season was on November 18th when they traded with Tampa Bay to acquire 6’4″ right-handed reliever Eric Orze and sent minor league pitcher Jacob Kisting a 6’5″ right-hander to Tampa in return. Kisting was drafted by the Minnesota Twins in the 14th round of the 2024 MLB June Amateur Draft from Bradley University (Peoria, IL). Trading Jacob Kisting shows the Twins are willing to move younger assets for immediate bullpen help. Tampa Bay acquired Orze from the Mets last winter in the trade that sent center fielder Jose Siri to New York. Tampa used Orze as an up-and-down middle innings arm. The former fifth-round pick tossed 41 2/3 innings of 3.02 ERA ball across 33 appearances. His 22.5% strikeout percentage and 10.7% walk rate weren’t as impressive, but he missed bats on a strong 13.2% of his offerings overall. Orze’s profile—solid ERA, decent bat-missing ability, but middling strikeout/walk rates—suggests he’s more of a depth stabilizer than a high-leverage arm. This is probably just the first of many moves the Twins will make to try to rebuild a bullpen they decimated when they traded off Griffin Jax, Louis Varland, and Jhoan Duran at the trade deadline this past season.

Additionally, the Twins acquired veteran catcher Alex Jackson from the Baltimore Orioles in exchange for minor league infielder Payton Eeles. Jackson presumably becomes part of the mix for the club’s backup catcher role, an opening that results from Christian Vazquez‘s free agency.

The Twins have cut payroll so there is no reason to think they will spend money now, but, I wouldn’t be surprised to see the payroll between $120 million-$130 million going into the 2026 season. The two early moves might be a sign the Twins are diving in the pool earlier this season to try to acquire players. Relievers without big league deals and something to prove should be standing in line to sign with Minnesota. If the Twins hit on some relievers and the team struggles they can flip these guys and get something in return.

The Twins still have a hole to fill at first and I would like to see them go after Lewin Diaz (who just turned 29) who was in the Twins minor league system before being traded Miami in 2019 at the trade deadline for Sergio RomoChris Vallimont and a PTBNL. Since then he was picked up by the Pirates, Orioles, Braves and Nationals but he has not played in he big leagues since he left Miami. After being cut lose by the Orioles he has played in Mexico and Korea. This past season in Korea in 629 PA’s he hit .314 with 50 home runs and 158 RBI while walking 60 times while striking out 100 times. He committed just 4 errors.

I am disappointed that the Twins have not yet named who their two new investor groups are. It will be interesting to learn who they are and what they have to say about the state of the Twins. It might be some time before we learn what impact these two new ownership groups have on how the Twins are run and if they are in this for the long haul or just in it to get a quick return on their investment when the Twins do get sold. Their intentions—long-term stewardship vs. short-term profit—could shape the franchise’s trajectory more than any single roster move.

July 2025: The Fire Sale That Redefined Twins Baseball

Ownership-Driven Upheaval In late July, the Minnesota Twins executed one of the most aggressive roster tear downs in franchise history—trading away 10 of 26 active players in just 72 hours. But this wasn’t simply a baseball decision. It was a directive shaped by ownership. A money grab by the Pohlad ownership.

With the Pohlad family actively pursuing a sale of the team, the front office was tasked with slashing payroll and clearing long-term commitments. The result: a fire sale that prioritized financial flexibility over short-term competitiveness. Carlos Correa’s contract was offloaded. Controllable relievers were moved. Rentals were shipped out. And the clubhouse was left with a skeleton crew and a pipeline of prospects.

This log documents the trades not as speculation, but as record—marking a pivotal moment in Twins history.

July 29 The Twins opened the deadline period by trading starters Chris Paddack and Randy Dobnak to the Detroit Tigers in exchange for catching prospect Enrique Jimenez, a promising teenage talent already showing advanced framing and plate discipline.

July 30 Minnesota sent closer Jhoan Duran to the Philadelphia Phillies in a deal headlined by right-handed pitching prospect Mick Abel and catching prospect Eduardo Tait. Abel, nearly MLB-ready, adds power to the rotation. Tait offers high upside behind the plate.

July 31 The deadline frenzy hit full speed with a series of rapid transactions:

  • Harrison Bader was dealt to Philadelphia for outfield prospect Hendry Mendez and rookie-league pitcher Geremy Villoria.
  • Brock Stewart headed to the Dodgers, returning big-league outfielder James Outman, a lefty bat with speed and defensive value.
  • Danny Coulombe moved to the Texas Rangers in exchange for hard-throwing Low-A arm Garrett Horn.
  • A package of Ty France and Louis Varland was sent to the Toronto Blue Jays, bringing back outfielder Alan Roden and starter Kendry Rojas, both thriving in Triple-A.
  • Willi Castro, fan favorite and utility wizard, was shipped to the Chicago Cubs for pitchers Sam Armstrong and Ryan Gallagher, each showing mid-rotation potential in Double-A.
  • Reliever Griffin Jax was traded to the Tampa Bay Rays for Taj Bradley, a high-ceiling starter recently bumped down from the majors.
  • And in the biggest move, Carlos Correa was sent back to the Houston Astros after waiving his no-trade clause. Minnesota received Matt Mikulski, a High-A lefty starter with strikeout stuff. Reports also have the Twins paying $30 million of Correa’s contract.

From the Bleachers: A Fan’s Reckoning For fans who’ve lived every pitch, every walk-off, and every heartbreak, the 2025 deadline didn’t feel like strategy—it felt like loss. Entire sections of Target Field emptied out not from attendance, but from identity. Jhoan Duran’s entrance music. Willi Castro’s hustle. Griffin Jax’s quiet efficiency. Correa’s flash, however fleeting. All of it—ripped out at once.

Social media went red with frustration. Some called for boycotts. Others simply grieved. For season ticket holders, it felt like a goodbye written in ink they never held.

But within the uncertainty, there is a stubborn kind of hope—the kind that animates every rebuild. The new names aren’t legends yet, but maybe they will be. And if not? Fans will remember this moment anyway, and mark it—not for what was lost, but for what might one day rise.

Twins 18 game postseason losing streak dead and buried

The Minnesota Twins beat the Toronto Blue Jays at Target Field in Game 1 of the AL Wild Card Series by a score of 3-1. Pablo López was the starter and winner, allowing one run on five hits in 5.2 innings pitched, with two walks and three strikeouts. Louie Varland (0.1 IP), Caleb Thielbar (1 IP) and Griffin Jax (1 IP) each earned a hold as Jhoan Duran earned the save with a scoreless ninth inning. The offense recorded five hits and walked six times. Royce Lewis was the hitting star going 2-for-3 with two home runs and three RBI. The paid attendance was 38,450, the second sellout of the season and largest since the Home Opener on April 7 vs. Houston – 38,465.

The Twins win was their first playoff victory since a 2-0 win at old Yankee Stadium in Game 1 of the ALDS on October 5, 2004 – a span of 6,397 days. The win snapped the longest playoff losing streak in baseball history. In that span, the Twins had lost 13 games to the Yankees, three to the A’s and two to the Astros. The Twins win was their first postseason win in Minnesota since a 2-1 victory over the Angels at the Metrodome in Game 1 of the 2002 ALCS on October 8.

Good pitching, stellar defense and two home runs by designated hitter Royce Lewis in his first two AB’s led the Twins to victory in front of a sellout home crowd that yelled and screamed and waived their Homer Hankies at every opportunity. Lewis who hasn’t played in 2 weeks due to a hamstring issue wasn’t even sure if he would be on the playoff roster since he is not 100%. Never-the-less he carried the Twins offense on his shoulders in this game. We may have to coin this the Royce Lewis game. You can’t write about the game without mentioning a stellar play by Carlos Correa throwing out a Blue Jays runner at the plate and two magnificent plays by Michael A. Taylor in center field, one a diving catch and the other a leaping grab at the fence.

If your a baseball fan that likes to sit back and enjoy the game, this would have been a tough game for you as the crowd was standing more than they were sitting. Playoff baseball at its best, unless you are a Blue Jays fan. The Twins are seeking the first postseason sweep in Twins/Senators franchise history.

Twins fun facts from Twins 3/23 ST notes

TWINS GO ON THE OFFENSIVE AT JETBLUE: The Twins shutout the Red Sox last night at JetBlue Park by a score of 11-0, setting spring highs in runs and hits (15). Joe Ryan (1-1) was the starter and winner, pitching 5 shutout innings with two hits allowed, one walk and five strikeouts. Emilio Pagán and Cole Sands each pitched 2 scoreless innings as Sands struck out three of his eight batters faced. The offense recorded 15 hits, highlighted by Trevor Larnach, who went 4-for-4 with his third home run of the spring. Kyle Farmer added a home run, marking his third of the exhibition season. The Twins also recorded eight two-out RBI. Now that what I like to see, good pitching and good hitting.

SPRING FLING: Today the Twins will play the 26th of 32 scheduled Grapefruit League games. After today, two more games will be played at Hammond Stadium and four more games will be played on the road.

BUCK TRUCK GETTING REVVED UP: Byron Buxton is in the Twins’ starting lineup for the second time this spring, batting leadoff as the designated hitter. He made his official spring debut on Tuesday vs. Tampa Bay, going 1-for-3 with a leadoff double and run scored. Buck has spent most of spring training seeing live pitching on backfields at Hammond Stadium.

Minnesota pitchers today are scheduled to be Tyler Mahle (R), Caleb Thielbar (L), Jhoan Duran (R), Jorge Alcala (R) and Griffin Jax (R).

THE DURANTULA: Jhoan Duran is in his fourth spring training with the Twins. He is scheduled to make his sixth spring appearance today, having pitched 5 scoreless innings so far with two walks and seven strikeouts. Made the Twins Opening Day roster last season for first time in career and spent season in bullpen; used all season in high-leverage situations, ranked sixth among AL relievers in ERA (1.86) and 12th in baseball. Led baseball in pitches of at least 100 miles-per-hour with 392.

Twins fun facts from Twins 3/17 ST notes

SPRING FLING: Today the Twins will play the 21st of 32 scheduled Grapefruit League games. Twins also played one World Baseball Classic exhibition against Team Dominican Republic March 9. After today, eleven spring training games remain to be played.

YESTERDAY’S RECAP: The Twins were shut out, 2-0, by the Tampa Bay Rays yesterday afternoon at Hammond Stadium. Joe Ryan was the starter and was saddled with the loss, allowing two runs on five hits (1 HR), with one walk and five strikeouts. Relievers Jeff Hoffman (1.0 IP, 2 K), Caleb Thielbar (1.0 IP, 1 BB, 1 K), Jhoan Duran (1.0 IP, 1 H, 1 BB, 2 K), Griffin Jax (1.0 IP, 1 K) and Jorge Alcala (1.0 IP, 1 BB, 2 K) combined for 5.0 scoreless innings in relief of Ryan. Kyle Garlick (1-for-3) and Nick Gordon (1-for-3) tallied the Twins’ two hits of the afternoon.

(BAD) LUCK OF THE IRISH: Since 2006, the Twins have gone 4-11-1 on St. Patrick’s Day. Make that 5-11-1 after they lost again today to the Orioles by a 5-3 score.

TO THE MAX: Max Kepler is in his 10th spring training, all with the Twins. He enters today hitting .409 (9-for-22) with three doubles, two home runs, three RBI, four walks, a .500 on-base percentage and a 1.318 OPS in nine games so far this spring. He leads Twins players in games since 2017 (721), and was the club’s 2022 Opening Day right fielder for sixth consecutive season. Hit third career grand slam May 23 vs. Detroit, off Elvin Rodriguez, it was also the 1,000th home run by a Twins player in Target Field history. Led team in defensive runs saved with nine, ranking ninth in baseball (per FanGraphs).

54 active players in camp (19 non-roster):
26 pitchers (7 non-roster)
6 catchers (4 non-roster)
10 infielders (4 non-roster)
12 outfielders (4 non-roster)
2 60-day Injured List

Twins Minor League POW are Jermaine Palacios & Griffin Jax

Week four has AA Wichita Wind Surge infielder Jermaine Palacios as the Twins player of the week. The 24-year old Palacios is primarily a shortstop but also has played second and third base. The Twins signed Palacios out of Venezuela in September 2013 and then in February of 2018 traded him to Tampa Bay for pitcher Jake Odorizzi only to resign him as a minor league free agent this past February.

This week Palacios, 24, played six games for the Wind Surge, hitting .435 (10-for-23) with one double, one home run, four RBI, four runs scored, four walks and a 1.127 OPS. Palacios is having a good season so far hitting .311 with 4 home runs and 12 RBI in 23 games. How much of a prospect he is now is questionable at his age and the fact that he has never reached the AAA level.

The Twins pitcher of the week is Griffin Jax from the AAA St. Paul Saints. The 6’2″ right-hander is 26 years old. Jax was drafted by the Philadelphia Phillies in the 12th round of the 2013 MLB June Amateur Draft but did not sign. The Minnesota Twins then selected him in the 3rd round of the 2016 MLB June Amateur Draft from United States Air Force Academy (Colorado Springs, CO).

Jax, 26, started two games for the Saints, going 2-0, 0.75 ERA (12.0 IP, 1 ER) with three walks and 18 strikeouts, including a career-high 10-strikeout performance on Friday at Iowa. Used primarily as a starter, Jax does not have a high strikeout rate but he has good control. It would be fun to see someone from a military academy wear the Minnesota Twins uniform in a MLB game.

Arizona Fall League just around the corner

2018 Arizona Fall League rosters were announced August 30th and the Minnesota Twins players will make-up part of the Salt River Rafters along with players from the Diamondbacks, Rockies, Marlins and Nationals.  The club’s manager will be Tommy Watkins and strength and conditioning will be handled by Jacob Dean.

Players representing the Twins will be right-handed pitchers Griffin Jax and Hector Lujan, left-handed pitchers Alex Robinson and Devin Smeltzer, infielder Travis Blankenhorn, and outfielders Jaylin Davis, Luke Raley and Brent Rooker.

Griffin Jax

Hector Lujan

Alex Robinson

Devin Smeltzer

Travis Blankenhorn

Jaylin Davis

Luke Raley

Brent Rooker

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

click on images to make them larger

Entering its 27th year, the AFL features six teams that are composed of players from all 30 Major League organizations. It offers the unique opportunity to gauge young talent against competition that usually is superior to what they experienced during the Minor League season. The rosters for this year’s AFL, are loaded with future stars. The group features 18 players ranked on MLB Pipeline’s list of the Top 100 Prospects.

Although I have not been to any AFL games the last few seasons I have attended a number of them in the past and it is a special treat to watch these young up and coming stars play ball. The price is right and often you will see more scouts than you will see paying fans. It is indeed a unique experience that I would recommend you partake in, if the opportunity presents itself.

 2018 AFL Schedule