Tag: Carlos Gomez

The JJ Hardy Dilemma

JJ Hardy

December 1, 2010 – Let’s talk a little about the JJ Hardy dilemma. I just can’t see any way that the Twins will not tender shortstop JJ Hardy a contract for 2011. Here is my reasoning, first of all there is no guarantee the Twins will sign Tsuyoshi Nishioka and if that scenario should occur, they need Hardy to play short and unless they sign a free agent second baseman to replace Orlando Hudson they need Alexi Casilla to play second. But let’s assume that the Twins do sign Nishioka, so where do they play him? Shortstop is a key position; I just can’t see the Twins going into 2011 with such a huge unknown both in the field and with the stick as Nishioka without some insurance. So leave Hardy at short for at last another season and play Nishioka at 2B where he is probably better suited anyway. Casilla can be the main utility guy and he can play as needed, plus he is a switch hitter who can run, there are many ways to get playing time for Casilla. That buys you time and we can see what kind of a player Nishioka really is and what Casilla can do with more playing time then he had in 2010.

What I don’t understand is why the Twins seem to be so down on Hardy? Hardy is the same player today as he was a year ago when they traded Carlos Gomez their crown jewel from the Johan Santana trade to the Brewers to acquire him. Sure the man was hurt in 2010 but he played great in the field when he was healthy and he has always been a streaky hitter so that should be no surprise. Plus the man has some pop in his bat and they can always use that.

The Twins are a contending team, not an also-ran that can take huge risks and just hope that Nishioka, if he signs, is the player they think he is. Casilla is no sure thing either; he has been given numerous chances in the past and let them slip through his fingers. The safe way to go here is to keep Hardy at short and play Nishioka at 2B. You can always trade Hardy after 2011 and his trade value may be even higher if he can stay healthy and show more power than he did in 2010. It is all about risk here and why take unnecessary risk when you don’t need to. The logical bet here is to play it safe.

STRIKE THREE!

March 4, 2010 – The Minnesota Twins preach putting the bat on the ball and getting it in play because you never know what can happen next, but the Twins have had a number of players over the years that have taken that long walk to the bench after flailing away and missing. Strangely enough, when you look at the franchise top fifty strike-out leaders from a hitting perspective, 46 out of 50 are Twins players and only 4 are Washington Senators and both of them, Jim Lemon and Harmon Killebrew played for the Twins. You would think with the old-time pitchers accumulating so many strike-outs that you would see more Washington Senators on this list. The top Twins strikeout team was the 1997 team (68-94) with 1,121 KO’s and the top Senators strike-out team was the 1960 team (73-81) with 883 KO’s. The top man on the list is Bobby Darwin who led the AL in strikeouts between 1972-1974. Here are the seasonal top ten strike-out performances by Twins/Senators hitters:

Rank Name Strike outs Year
1 Bobby Darwin 145 1972
2 (tie) Carlos Gomez 142 2008
2 (tie) Harmon Killebrew 142 1962
4 Jim Lemon 138 1956
5 Bobby Darwin 137 1973
6 Harmon Killebrew 135 1964
7 (tie) Rich Becker 130 1997
7 (tie) Michael Cuddyer 130 2006
9 Jacques Jones 129 2002
10 Lary Hisle 128 1973

 

GO GO is gone

November 6, 2009 – The Twins announced today that they have traded outfielder Carlos Gomez to the Milwaukee Brewers for shortstop JJ Hardy. Carlos Gomez was the center piece in the Johan Santana trade with the New York Mets several years ago and came to Minnesota along with Philip Humber, Kevin Mulvey, and Deolis Guerra. Gomez is the second player of that group that has now been traded as Mulvey was sent to Arizona in the trade for reliever Jon Rauch earlier this year. Humber and Guerra remain in the Twins minor league system. The fleet footed Gomez never hit enough to win the center field job outright and often looked like he had no clue with the bat but the Twins will miss his speed, his ability to play center field and his unique character.

The Twins outfield was crowded in 2009 with Cuddyer, Span, Young, Kubel, and Gomez all fighting for playing time and almost always Gomez turned out to be the one sitting on the bench. Now it appears that GM Bill Smith and the Twins are finally admitting that they had too many outfielders which I have been saying for over a year on this site. These guys need to come to the ballpark knowing where they will be playing and where they will be hitting and only Cuddyer knew that he would be in right field game in and game out, at least until Justin Morneau got hurt.

James Jerry Hardy better known as JJ is 27 years old, about 6’2” and 180 pounds and has been with the Brewers since 2005 but he sat out most of 2006 with an injury. Hardy was drafted by the Brewers in the second round of the 2001 draft and won the starting shortstop job with the Brew Crew in 2005. Hardy has been inconsistent during his career and late in 2009 appeared to have lost his starting shortstop job to Alcides Escobar and was actually sent to the minors by the Brewers this past season for 18 games. The 2007 season was arguably Hardy’s best season when he made the NL All-Star team and hit .277 with 26 home runs and 80 RBI’s. Although Hardy has a .262 career average, he has bounced around hitting .247, .242, .277, .283 and .229 last year. His rate of strikeouts has also increased the last 3 years and in 2009 he struck out once every 4.87 at bats. Hardy is not a base stealing threat as his career numbers are 5 steals in 11 attempts, maybe Gardy can get him running. Hardy has a career .323 OBP and yet most of his Brewer at bats have been in the number 2 spot in the batting order. Actually Hardy’s OBP compares very favorably to Orlando Cabrera and Nick Punto who have an OBP of .322. Nothing to jump up and down about there but Hardy does have some pop as he has shown in 2007 when he hit 26 out of the park and 24 in 2008 but in 2009 he fell to 11 home runs. In the field, Hardy is about average from a fielding percentage perspective.

On the salary front, Hardy made 4.65 million in 2009 and will be under team control in 2010 and 2011. It will be interesting to see what number will be assigned to Hardy as the Twins number 7 is currently being used by someone who I think will not be parting with it in the near future. When I first heard about the trade I was really excited and now that I have had the time to look at the numbers that Hardy has put up, I am still excited but I have to admit I am a bit apprehensive about his average and lack of speed.

Bottom line though, I go down on the positive side of this trade and think it is a very good move because the Twins have plugged a hole at short and traded an outfielder so now the line-up can be more consistent and each player knows his role in the line-up. If Hardy can play up to his ability, then I can live with Punto at 2B if need be but acquiring a 2B would still be nice. Mr. Smith still has work to do, but this is a nice start to the off season.

Twins walk off with the Central Division title

October 6, 2009 – Alexi Casilla became the unlikely hero for the Twins when he delivered a walk-off RBI single in the 12th inning off Tiger closer Fernando Rodney to lift the Twins to a 6-5 victory that gave the club its fifth division title this decade and earned Minnesota a trip to New York to face the Yankees in the AL Division Series which starts on Wednesday afternoon.

The game went back and forth and was an exciting a baseball game as I have ever seen. I wasn’t one of the lucky 54,088 or so fans that witnessed the game in person at the Metrodome but watching the game at home was just as stressful. It turns out that the Homer Hanky waving crowd was the largest regular season crowd ever in Metrodome history and it took place on the final regular season game to ever be played at the Metrodome.

The Tigers jumped out to a 3-0 lead off starter Scott Baker before the Twins chipped away and finally took a 4-3 lead on a homerun by Orlando Cabrera in the bottom of the seventh inning. The Tigers tied the game in the next inning on a Magglio Ordonez long ball. The teams traded runs in the 10th inning before Casilla came up with the game winner in the 12th. Earlier in the game Miguel Cabrera homered for Detroit and Jason Kubel hit one out for the Twins. Five Tigers pitchers threw 193 pitches and eight Twins pitchers threw 198 pitches in the 12 inning affair.

The Twins celebration will have to be a short one as they need to fly to New York and take on those hated New York Yankees starting tomorrow afternoon. But for now, all you can say is WOW! What a ballgame!

According to Elias, Alexi Casilla, who drove in the winning run for the Twins with a single that scored Carlos Gomez from second base, was an unlikely hero. When he came to the plate, Casilla was one of only two players in the majors with at least 200 at-bats and a sub-.200 batting average this season. Casilla’s game-winner raised his average to .202 from .198 and left San Diego’s Brian Giles (.191) with the unfortunate distinction of being the only player with 200-plus at-bats to finish this year with a batting average “on the interstate.”

Santana now a New York Met

February 1, 2008 – So the Twins have traded Santana to the Mets and in return acquired 22 year old outfielder Carlos Gomez, and right handed pitchers Philip Humber, also 25, Kevin Mulvey who is 22 along with 18 year old Deolis Guerra. Although the final numbers have not yet come out, it sounds like the deal may be for 7 years and $150 million. Wow, Johan is the best pitcher in baseball but I see this as a huge risk for the Mets, seven years is a long time and that golden arm could get weary and sore before 7 years comes and goes.

If the Yankees offered Hughes and Cabrera and a bag of balls I would have much preferred that deal to this deal with the Mets. As for the Red Sox offer, I am not sure that Ellsbury has proven himself just yet so I have no problem passing on that deal. We will never know if the Yankees or the Red Sox actually offered the players that were rumored. As a Twins executive told me this week-end, it takes two teams to make a deal. I interpret that to mean that maybe the Yankees and Reds Sox deals weren’t the names that were so often bandied about because I can’t believe that the Twins would pass on a deal that included Hughes and Cabrera.

This deal with the Mets bothers me because there are no sure fire players that we can just plug in the line-up now. Force feed Gomez in CF to start? Maybe, maybe later in the season. The Twins can still be a fun team to watch this year but they can’t compete with the Tigers or the Indians. I think the Twins can play with the mighty Whities and the Royals but the Royals can be tough if their pitching shows up.

The Twins need to solidify their pitching and they could go a long ways down that road if Liriano can came back strong but that is a lot to hope for in 2008, and more likely to happen in 2009. Can Baker, Slowey or Bonser step up and fill the 2 through 4 spots? That leaves the final spot up for grabs between Blackburn, Perkins, and Humber. I would love to see Perkins in the rotation but with his history I am not sure he can stay healthy throwing that many innings. It is hard to be real confident in these guys and I am thinking we will get some good starts and a number of bad starts from this group as they learn.

So, if that is the case, why not do the same thing with the position players and try this line-up? Casilla leads off at 2B followed by Mauer catching, Young hitting third in left, Morneau bats cleanup and plays 1B, the right fielder Cuddyer bats fifth and the six hole is filled by DH Kubel, Lamb the 3B bats 8th and Everett hits 9th. Why not give Casilla and Gomez a shot and see if they can handle the job and learn how to play in the big leagues. With questionable pitching we can’t afford to give up any extra outs so we need strong defense up the middle and Gomez and Casilla should fill the bill. Plus, these guys should steal 90-100 bases between them. The Twins hitting this year will surprise some people. Mauer should bounce back big after an injury plagued season, the newly acquired Young can be a RBI machine, Morneau can improve, Kubel is just starting to get comfortable and I look for a big improvement with Jason. Lamb will add some power to the lineup and I think Everett will surprise a lot of people with his hitting.

My biggest concern with the Twins is their bullpen because I can see it getting over worked with the inconsistent starting pitching. I think Gardenhire and his coaches will earn their pay this year as they guide this young team through the season.

As for the other teams? This deal helps the Red Sox because they keep all their chips and don’t have to face Santana as a Yankee. They still need to move Crisp and I would not mind seeing him in Minnesota for a year or so while Gomez gains experience and learns the Twins ways in Rochester. The Yankees are hurt big time by this deal because now the Mets have the best pitcher in baseball across town and the Yankees still have to go into the season with either the old goat or the kindergarten pitching staff and neither option will end up being very appealing.