Lots of smoke but no fire

GM Bill Smith
GM Bill Smith

As the July 31 trade deadline approached, the Twins seemed to be in the middle of a number of possible trade discussions with players such as Kevin Slowey, Denard Span, Jason Kubel, Michael Cuddyer, Jose Mijares, Delmon Young, and Jim Thome all supposedly in the mix to change uniforms. But the Twins and GM Bill Smith found themselves between a rock and a hard-spot on what to do with a team that seems to have hit a plateau at 6 games out after coming out of the chute like a herd of turtles and found themselves 20 games under .500 on June 1st. According to a recent clip I saw on TV, no team in MLB history that has been 20 games under has ever come back to finish above the .500 mark. But on the other hand, no one in the Central Division seems to want to take the lead and run with it. The Kansas City Royals started the season hot as a pistol but soon tanked and found themselves rebuilding with some young and up and coming stars. The Chicago White Sox can’t seem to get their act together and struggle to hang around the .500 mark. The surprising Cleveland Indians are probably in over their heads but have been putting up a good fight but they have too many injuries to key players and are too young to be taken too seriously. The Detroit Tigers are leading the pack right now and as I see it, will win the division just because they are the best team in a bad division in 2011.

But getting back to Minnesota, what was Smith to do? I can see no way that with the way the Jekyll and Hyde Twins have played this season that ownership would authorize the payroll to increase by any substantial amount. So if Smith wanted to make some additions to say the relief core, he would also have to move some payroll to free up some dollars. On the other hand, the Twins could have become sellers and started a rebuilding process but the fans in Twins Territory would have gone “nuts” if the Twins threw up the white flag while being only six games out on July 31. The Twins sell out almost every home game and giving up just does not seem like the right thing to do even though the chances of this team winning the division are slim and none. So what should be done?

The solution as it turns out was relatively simple, the answer was to be neither a buyer nor a seller and just let things continue the way they are for the time being. All Smith had to do is keep saying no to any deal that was not stacked in favor of the home team and the only deal he would make would be on where the Twins came out smelling like a rose. Like the deal that was much ballyhooed where the Twins would send Span to Washington and hopefully get closer Drew Storen, outfielder Roger Bernadina, and 2B Steve Lombardozzi. But Washington did not want to part with Storen and Smith passed on Troy Clippard. If a miracle happens and the Twins catch fire, just play it out and hope for the best. If the Twins tank, there is always the waiver wire or just let the season come to a merciful end and deal with your potential free agent fallout. Besides, this team can’t be this bad again next year, the team was snake bit with injuries in 2011 and what are the odds of it happening again? But the Twins do have holes and a bit of a tune-up with some new parts just might make this sputtering 4 cylinder engine come to life again as the V-8 that all of us Twins fans expected in 2011.

GM Bill Smith isn’t as dumb as some make him out to be, he went from being in an impossible situation of deciding between buying and selling to finding himself in the position of being right no matter where the Twins finish in the standings. If the Twins don’t win the division and finish third or fourth, he was right not to be a buyer, why waste the money. If the Twins make a serious run but still lose, he can take the position that we did not need to make any moves, we just needed our players to get healthy and start playing the way they are capable of playing and it is a good thing that he wasn’t a seller or the Twins would not have made this great come-back.

But Mr. Smith is not totally off the hook here. Sure the Twins had their run of injuries, but their play in 2011 is not all about injuries. There are questions that need to be asked. Is Nishioka really as bad as he has played in 2011? How do the Twins avoid a repeat of the 2011 bullpen woes? Is the Twins starting staff going to take a step forward or is it time to blow it up? What does he do about Cuddyer and Kubel as they enter free agency?

What would I have done if I had been in Smith’s shoes? I would have done pretty much what Smith did, nothing, but I am working at a disadvantage here, I don’t know what the other teams offered for Kubel or Cuddyer. For sure I would have sent Thome packing; he is just wasting a roster spot as the Twins wait for him to hit home run number 600. I assume they were offered next to nothing for Slowey or he would be gone by now, but now that Blackburn has pitched so poorly of late, maybe it is time to give Slowey a shot at Blackie’s spot?

Minor League Player of the Week

Tyler Robertson
Tyler Robertson

New Britain left-handed pitcher Tyler Robertson is the Twins Minor League Player of the Week for July 23-30. Robertson, 23, was 1-0 with one save in three appearances for the Rock Cats. Tyler did not allow a run and recorded seven strikeouts while walking three batters in his 5.0 innings of relief work last week…Robertson was selected by the Twins in the third round of the 2006 First-Year Player Draft out of Bella Vista (Ca.) High School. Robertson entered 2011 with a career 30-32 minor league record and a 3.71 ERA over 98 appearances (95 starts).

Rangers show Twins no mercy

The Rangers scored three runs in each of the first three innings, then added five runs in the fourth inning and four more in the fifth inning, on their way to a 20-6 win over the Twins yesterday. Only two other teams since 1900 scored three-or-more runs in each of the first five innings of a game: the 1900 Phillies (July 13 vs. Pirates) and 1991 Athletics (September 29 vs. Rangers). The Rangers also became only the third team in American League history to have seven different players with three or more hits in a nine-inning game. The others were the 1939 Yankees and 1955 White Sox, who each coincidentally did so against the Athletics. Source: Elias

Minor League Player of the Week

pitcher BJ Hermsen
pitcher BJ Hermsen

July 24, 2011 – Beloit (Midwest League – Single-A) right-handed pitcher B.J Hermsen is the Twins Minor League Player of the Week for July 16-22. Hermsen, 21, was drafted in the sixth round of the of the 2008 First-Year Player draft out of West Delaware High School in Iowa. Hermsen was 1-0 in one start for the Snappers as he recorded five strikeouts while walking just two batters in the 7.0 inning win. B.J. is 10-6 in his second season with Beloit with a 3.14 ERA in 106 innings of work while giving up 110 hits, 28 walks and 68 strikeouts.

Homers fly as temps soar at target Field

Asdrubal Cabrera and Austin Kearns homered in the Indians’ 5-2 win at Minnesota (first game of double-header), where the game-time temperature was 90 degrees. It was only the third time that the Twins hosted a game at Target Field for which the first-pitch temperature was in the 90s, and a total of nine home runs were hit in those three games. The average in the other 123 games at Target Field has been 1.5 home runs. Source – Elias

Twins minor league player of the week

Ft. Myers (Florida St. League – Single-A) left-handed pitcher Logan Darnell is the Twins Minor League Player of the Week for July 9-15. Darnell was drafted in the sixth round of the of the 2010 First-Year Player draft out of the University of Kentucky. Logan made his professional debut last season with Elizabethton appearing in 11 games (five starts). Darnell, 21, was 2-0 in two starts for the Miracle, he recorded 10 strikeouts while walking just two batters.

Some interesting numbers

From Elias, A comparison of this season’s “first-half” statistics with the numbers at the break in past seasons:

In 2011, teams have averaged 8.4 runs per game. In 2010 it was 8.9, 9.2 in 2009, 9.1 in 2008, 9.4 in 2007 and 9.8 in 2006. 2011 is the lowest since 1992.

In 2011, teams have averaged 1.8 home runs per game. In 2010 it was 1.9, 2.1 in 2009, 2.0 in 2008 and 2007 and 2.2 in 2006. 2011 is the lowest since 1993.

In 2011, teams have averaged 1.3 stolen bases per game. In 2010 it was 1.2, 1.3 in 2009, 1.2 in 2008 and 2007 and 1.1 in 2006. 2011 is the highest since 1999.

In 2011, teams have a batting average of .253. In 2010 it was .259, .261 in 2009 and 2008, .264 in 2007 and .269 in 2006. 2011 is the lowest since 1972.*

In 2011, teams have averaged 6.3 walks per game. In 2010 it was 6.6, 7.0 in 2009, 6.8 in 2008 and 6.6 in 2007 and 2006. 2011 is the lowest since 1972.*

In 2011, teams have averaged 13.92 strikeouts per game. In 2010 it was 13.89, 13.6 in 2009, 13.3 in 2008, 13.0 in 2007 and 12.8 in 2006. 2011 is the highest ever.

*the American League adopted the DH the following season (1973)

Twins lose late

Michael Cuddyer’s home run in the bottom of the seventh inning tied the game, 5-5, but Tampa Bay scored four runs in the eighth inning and three more in the ninth to beat Minnesota 12-5. The Twins franchise has had only one larger margin of defeat in the past 75 years in a game it was leading or tied heading into the eighth inning. That was a 12-4 loss to the Royals in August 1995, during which the bullpen allowed nine runs over the final two innings, squandering a 4-3 lead. Source – Elias

Ducks on the Pond

Danny Valencia

Danny Valencia drove in two runs with a bases-loaded single in the seventh inning (and a third run crossed the plate on the same play as a result of an error) to lift the Twins to a 9-7 win over the Brewers yesterday. Valencia has eight hits, including two homers, in 13 at-bats (.615) with the bags full during his two seasons in the majors. Over the last two seasons, only Vladimir Guerrero (.631, 12-for-19) has a higher bases-loaded batting average than Valencia (minimum: 8 bases-loaded hits). Source – Elias

Twins Minor League Player of the Week

Eddie Rosario

Elizabethton (Appalachian League – Rookie Level) outfielder Eddie Rosario is the Twins Minor League Player of the Week for June 25-July 1. Rosario, 20, was 11-for-28 (.393) with two doubles, five home runs, 12 RBI’s and nine runs scored in seven games for the E-Town Twins. Last season Rosario spent the year in the GCL hitting .294 and stole 22 bases in 51 games. Rosario was drafted by the Twins in the fourth round of the 2010 First-Year Player draft out of Puerto Rico.